Saturday, 17 November 2018
Tom Lee Has Slashed His Price Target on Bitcoin from $25,000 to $15,000
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The popular digital currency supporter has sharply reduced his price target from $25,000 to $15,000 on bitcoin for the year-end.
Sherlock by Sherlock November 17, 2018 in Crypto news, Opinion
As the bitcoin price traded below the psychological level of $6,000 mark, Fundstrat Global Advisors co-founder, Tom Lee, has slashed his price target on bitcoin nearly half. However, the revised target price is much higher than the current trading price. Significantly, his comments come on the heels of seven out of top ten cryptocurrencies witnessing a double-digit drop in the 7-day period.
Break-Even Point
The popular digital currency supporter has sharply reduced his price target from $25,000 to $15,000 on bitcoin for the year-end. He believes that the important driver is ‘break-even’ point. This meant that mining costs should match the trading price. According to him, the matching level reduced to $7,000 from his previous estimate of 8,000. This is based on the Bitmain’s S9 mining machine. This would mean a fair value of roughly 2.2 times of the fresh break-even price.
Bitcoin is trading around $5,450 at the time of writing and has shed 13.56 percent for the one-week period. Despite the existing sluggishness or the bearishness, Lee is confident of a recovery in bitcoin price. In a research note to clients, he pointed out the earlier bear market during the period 2013 – 2015 and said that it “never sustained a move below breakeven.” The former chief equity strategist at J.P. Morgan Lee thinks that the psychological breaking down of $6,000 has driven a fresh wave of pessimism.
Negative Swing in Sentiment
He also pointed out that there is a negative swing in sentiment that is much worse relative to the fundamental implications. Lee said that most of the price movement was fueled by certain events like the argument over bitcoin cash. There have been several tweets on bitcoin cash hard fork and splitting into bitcoin ABC or bitcoin SV. Significantly, bitcoin cash itself was a fork from bitcoin.
Though the bitcoin price remained somewhat stable in October, the sell-off has started a few days back after remaining around $6,400 levels. However, Lee is unmoved by the current condition and sees bullishness on the most valuable digital coin with the belief that institutional involvement will boost the price before the current year ends. He pointed out the wider infrastructure creation for institutional involvement to support his belief.
Join- https://t.me/btctradingclub
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.freecryptosignals.app
The popular digital currency supporter has sharply reduced his price target from $25,000 to $15,000 on bitcoin for the year-end.
Sherlock by Sherlock November 17, 2018 in Crypto news, Opinion
As the bitcoin price traded below the psychological level of $6,000 mark, Fundstrat Global Advisors co-founder, Tom Lee, has slashed his price target on bitcoin nearly half. However, the revised target price is much higher than the current trading price. Significantly, his comments come on the heels of seven out of top ten cryptocurrencies witnessing a double-digit drop in the 7-day period.
Break-Even Point
The popular digital currency supporter has sharply reduced his price target from $25,000 to $15,000 on bitcoin for the year-end. He believes that the important driver is ‘break-even’ point. This meant that mining costs should match the trading price. According to him, the matching level reduced to $7,000 from his previous estimate of 8,000. This is based on the Bitmain’s S9 mining machine. This would mean a fair value of roughly 2.2 times of the fresh break-even price.
Bitcoin is trading around $5,450 at the time of writing and has shed 13.56 percent for the one-week period. Despite the existing sluggishness or the bearishness, Lee is confident of a recovery in bitcoin price. In a research note to clients, he pointed out the earlier bear market during the period 2013 – 2015 and said that it “never sustained a move below breakeven.” The former chief equity strategist at J.P. Morgan Lee thinks that the psychological breaking down of $6,000 has driven a fresh wave of pessimism.
Negative Swing in Sentiment
He also pointed out that there is a negative swing in sentiment that is much worse relative to the fundamental implications. Lee said that most of the price movement was fueled by certain events like the argument over bitcoin cash. There have been several tweets on bitcoin cash hard fork and splitting into bitcoin ABC or bitcoin SV. Significantly, bitcoin cash itself was a fork from bitcoin.
Though the bitcoin price remained somewhat stable in October, the sell-off has started a few days back after remaining around $6,400 levels. However, Lee is unmoved by the current condition and sees bullishness on the most valuable digital coin with the belief that institutional involvement will boost the price before the current year ends. He pointed out the wider infrastructure creation for institutional involvement to support his belief.
Friday, 16 November 2018
Is McAfee sweating already? His Bitcoin prediction is now almost 300 days behind
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Remember that famous Bitcoin prediction of John McAfee? Bitcoin at $1 million by 2020 or a certain private part gets eaten on national television? Well, after this week's Bitcoin crash, things are not looking very promising for McAfee right now.
The crypto enthusiast first predicted Bitcoin to reach $500K in 2020, stating that he will 'eat his dick on national television' if that doesn't happen.
In November 2017, four months after his first bet, McAfee took it a step further and predicted Bitcoin at $1 million by the end of 2020, adding that 'I will still eat my dick if wrong'.
When I predicted Bitcoin at $500,000 by the end of 2020, it used a model that predicted $5,000 at the end of 2017. BTC has accelerated much faster than my model assumptions. I now predict Bircoin at $1 million by the end of 2020. I will still eat my dick if wrong.
McAfee had every reason to be confident at that time. On November 29 2017, the day of his $1 million predicition, Bitcoin was trading 128% above the average trend line leading to $1 million by the end of 2020. A handy McAfee predictor tool keeping track of the progress, Bircoin.top, explaines that 'Bitcoin needs to grow at a rate of 0.484095526 % per day from 2017-07-17 to 2020-12-31 to get from $ 2,244.27 (price on the day of his first prediction) to $ 1,000,000.00'.
At the all time high of Bitcoin, mid-December 2017, Bitcoin's price was 314% above the red line, and 296 days ahead of the growth that is needed for McAfee's prediction to come true.
298 days behind
Things are looking different these days. With Bitcoin's price dropping from close to $20K to the current levels of $5.5K, McAfee is losing sight of the average trend line going towards the $1 million. Currently, the price of Bitcoin is 76,3% below and 298 days of average growth behind the red line. Bitcoin should have been $23,520.75 at this point to be on schedule.
'
I cannot loose the bet'
McAfee, however, doesn't seem to be worried at all. On Thursday, he posted on Twitter that 'we are still on schedule to get to $1 million by 2020'. 'I cannot lose the bet. It is mathematically impossible. What you have been seeing is short term (< 18 months) nonsense. Ignore it and look at fundamentals.'
Join- https://t.me/cryptosignalalert
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.freecryptosignals.app
Remember that famous Bitcoin prediction of John McAfee? Bitcoin at $1 million by 2020 or a certain private part gets eaten on national television? Well, after this week's Bitcoin crash, things are not looking very promising for McAfee right now.
The crypto enthusiast first predicted Bitcoin to reach $500K in 2020, stating that he will 'eat his dick on national television' if that doesn't happen.
In November 2017, four months after his first bet, McAfee took it a step further and predicted Bitcoin at $1 million by the end of 2020, adding that 'I will still eat my dick if wrong'.
When I predicted Bitcoin at $500,000 by the end of 2020, it used a model that predicted $5,000 at the end of 2017. BTC has accelerated much faster than my model assumptions. I now predict Bircoin at $1 million by the end of 2020. I will still eat my dick if wrong.
McAfee had every reason to be confident at that time. On November 29 2017, the day of his $1 million predicition, Bitcoin was trading 128% above the average trend line leading to $1 million by the end of 2020. A handy McAfee predictor tool keeping track of the progress, Bircoin.top, explaines that 'Bitcoin needs to grow at a rate of 0.484095526 % per day from 2017-07-17 to 2020-12-31 to get from $ 2,244.27 (price on the day of his first prediction) to $ 1,000,000.00'.
At the all time high of Bitcoin, mid-December 2017, Bitcoin's price was 314% above the red line, and 296 days ahead of the growth that is needed for McAfee's prediction to come true.
298 days behind
Things are looking different these days. With Bitcoin's price dropping from close to $20K to the current levels of $5.5K, McAfee is losing sight of the average trend line going towards the $1 million. Currently, the price of Bitcoin is 76,3% below and 298 days of average growth behind the red line. Bitcoin should have been $23,520.75 at this point to be on schedule.
'
I cannot loose the bet'
McAfee, however, doesn't seem to be worried at all. On Thursday, he posted on Twitter that 'we are still on schedule to get to $1 million by 2020'. 'I cannot lose the bet. It is mathematically impossible. What you have been seeing is short term (< 18 months) nonsense. Ignore it and look at fundamentals.'
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